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brazil economic strength to boost property prices

News Posted On: 01 October 2009

The continued economic resilience of Brazil has led to optimism that house price growth will continue this year, despite the economic downturn.

Today, the International Monetary Fund stuck by its forecast of a 3.5% growth in the Brazilian economy next year, which is to be a lot bigger than the growth forecasts of the world's largest economies.

A growing economy does indeed support growth in house prices, even if only at the rate of inflation as the cost of materials and labour rise. If Brazil house prices grow at the rate of inflation this year and next, they will grow by 4.1% this year and 4.8% next year according to the IMF forecasts for inflation.

However, the IMF is forecasting a contraction in the Brazilian economy this year so house price growth cannot be banked on.

That said: over the long term, Brazil is forecast to grow into the 5th largest economy in the world in the next 10 years, and house prices will grow significantly during this time.

Currently, Brazil property prices are among the lowest in the developed world, which means that Brazil poses a significant property investment opportunity. This becomes especially true when you consider that Brazil is to host the 2014 World Cup.

The international downturn has changed the face of overseas property investment; no longer are people investing based on incredible capital appreciation forecasts. They are investing based on solid cash-flow projections. People will be looking at the rental potential of properties in the cities around the stadiums, and investing in the ones likely to see solid rentals between now and 2014 when they stand to make a huge profit from renting to world cup goers.

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